Ukraine ranked 54th globally in terms of GDP and 38th in terms of purchasing power parity GDP in 2012. The country’s nominal GDP stood at $176bn last year, translating into $3,865 per capita. Real GDP growth slowed to 0.2% last year as weak external demand took a toll on the export-oriented economy. We forecast economic growth will remain close to zero in 2013 and recover to +1.5% in 2014.
| Year | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2041 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issue Volume ($m) | 825.0 | 1168.33379 | 531.0390550000002 | 3150.6182090000007 | 2946.419792 | 1355.51054 | 3239.32 |
| Coupon Rate (% p.a.) | 6.875% | 1.75% | 0.0% | 1.75% | 1.75% | 0.0% | _% |
| Coupon Frequency | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maturity date | 11/9/2028 | 2/1/2029 | 2/1/2030 | 2/1/2034 | 2/1/2035 | 2/1/2036 | 8/1/2041 |
| Ratings: Fitch/Moody's/S&P | Ca/_/C | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/D/_ |
| Market Price* | 78.5 | 61.75 | 48.0 | 51.5 | 51.0 | 47.5 | 74.25 |
| Market YTM* | 14.47% | 21.02% | 19.44% | 16.31% | 15.82% | 11.82% | % |
| Spread over UST* | 1055.43 | 1705.82 | 1544.89 | 1199.64 | 1145.66 | 730.61 | |
| Note: *Based on bid price. | |||||||
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP ($bn) | 154.2 | 156.6 | 199.9 | 191.2 |
| GDP per Capita ($) | 3,679 | 3,755 | 4,827 | 4,641 |
| Total Public Debt ($bn) | 84.4 | 90.3 | 97.9 | 109.7 |
| Total Public Debt (% GDP) | 50.24% | 60.45% | 48.99% | 59.68% |
| Debt to IMF ($bn) | 11.2 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Ext. Debt w/o IMF ($bn) | 37.7 | 40.9 | 42.7 | 50.6 |
| Ext. Debt w/o IMF (% exports) | 59.38% | 67.37% | 52.39% | 59.46% |
| Gross F/X Reserves ($bn) | 25.3 | 29.1 | 30.9 | 30.0 |
| UAH:$ (e-o-p) | 23.69 | 28.28 | 27.28 | 28.50 |
| UAH:$ (avg.) | 25.80 | 26.96 | 27.27 | 27.40 |