Research

Welcome to our research portal. We provide comprehensive coverage on Ukrainian macroeconomics and politics as well as all major domestic industries such as metals and mining, agriculture, machine-building, fuel and energy, banking and others from both the equities and fixed income perspectives. 

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Market View

  • Fixed income

    • Following the election results and positive post-election rhetoric, the sovereign rallied impressively on Monday, with the curve going 30bp tighter and 2+pt higher in the long end. GDP warrants were the prime outperformers, gaining over 3pt. Quasi-sovereigns and corporates ended 0.25-1pt higher, lagging somewhat - probably due to being out of the market's primary focus.

  • Equities

    The local UX index dipped by 0.4% yesterday as small trades were reported in CEEN (unch.), BAVL (unch.) and TATM (-2.8%). Foreign-listed equities were mixed, as FXPO added 0.6% on $3.1m turnover, KER closed flat on healthy $1.2m volume, MHP slid by 0.5% and AST lost 2.1%. As a result, the KP-Dragon index inched 0.1% lower on the day. Stronger global markets and commodity prices point to a higher opening in Ukrainian equities today.

Daily show all results

23.07.2019
| Daily

Retail turnover surges 14% y-o-y in June, consumer confidence stabilizes after jump

Retail trade turnover rose by 13.6% y-o-y in June, accelerating from 8.2% in May and bringing the 1H19 tally to 10.3% y-o-y, up from 5.1% in 1H18 and 9.6% in 5M19. On a related note, the Consumer Confidence Index stood at 82.4 on a 0-200 scale,...
23.07.2019
| Daily

Politics — Presidential party solidifies majority lead

President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People (SP) party solidified its lead in the early parliamentary elections, according to the preliminary vote count based on 93% of the ballots cast. SP won 124 seats in the party-list portion of the...
23.07.2019
| Daily

Ovostar Union — Reports 2Q19 operating results

WSE-listed Ovostar Union, one of the largest shell egg producers in Ukraine, reported a 2Q19 operating update. Its total bird flock stood at 7.6 million hens (+2% y-o-y but -3% q-o-q), incl. 6.5 million laying hens (+6% y-o-y but -3% q-o-q).

Reports show all results

22.07.2019
| Reports

Ukraine Strategy Weekly: The Winner Takes It All?

The most important domestic event was the early parliamentary elections held yesterday (Jul. 21). The outcome of party-list voting, representing half of Rada seats, was mostly in line with latest polls. President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of...
22.07.2019
| Reports

Ukrainian Bond Weekly

Presidential party looks to landslide victory in Rada vote; NBU resumes easing cycle with 50bp rate cut to 17.0% p.a., publishes key rate forecast; MinFin sells UAH 7.3bn of UAH bonds and record $1.0bn of USD debt, cuts yields on both curves.
22.07.2019
| Reports

Ukrainian Politics: Presidential Party Looks to Landslide Victory in Rada Vote

Early results from Sunday’s early parliamentary elections show President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People (SP) party winning by far the largest number of parliamentary seats, potentially even an outright majority, consolidating the...
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
KSG PW PLN 0.925 1.0 1.0 4.0
AST PW PLN 23.7 24.2 24.0 1.3
IMC PW PLN 15.3 15.6 15.6 1.0
FXPO LN GBp 267.7 267.8 267.8 0.5
TATM UAH _ _ _ 0.0
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AGT PW PLN 3.275 3.35 3.275 -2.2
ALAGR FP EUR 0.1235 0.1245 0.1235 -2.0
RPT LN GBp 38.4 40.0 38.4 -1.9
JKX LN GBp 37.4 38.6 37.4 -0.8
KER PW PLN 49.55 49.9 49.75 -0.5
Ticker Currency Close 1D, % Volume
FXPO LN GBp 267.8 0.5 245212.31
JKX LN GBp 37.4 -0.8 6938.91
RPT LN GBp 38.4 -1.9 3389.8
KER PW PLN 49.75 -0.5 649.98
MHPC LI USD 10.0 0.0 50.79
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
SPX 3004.67 0.66 1.84 19.86
UX _ 0.00 0.00 0.00
PFTS 540.9778 -0.76 -2.12 -3.29
DAX 12490.74 1.64 1.22 18.30
FTSE100 7556.86 0.56 2.02 12.32
MICEX 2701.06 0.63 -2.18 14.00
KP-Dragon 2,023.19 -0.08 -1.28 1.34
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
CDX.EM 97.30948 0.00 0.89 2.17
5-year UST 99.6796875 0.00 0.00 0.00
10-year UST 102.71875 0.00 0.00 0.00
6M USD LIBOR 2.18075 1.70 -1.77 -24.16
12M USD LIBOR 2.18838 1.42 -0.62 -27.19
Ukraine 19 100.25 -0.25 -0.50 0.88
Ukraine 32 102.0 0.25 3.82 26.91
EMBI+ Ukraine 563.00 -1.23 -14.95 -26.60
CEMBI Ukraine 546.25 0.43 -9.39 -26.63
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
UAH:USD (NBU) 25.63 0.05 2.19 8.03
UAH:EUR (NBU) 28.64 0.43 4.21 10.75
USD:GBP 1.24 -0.02 -2.36 -2.42
USD:EUR 1.11 -0.02 -2.11 -2.65
PLN:USD 3.82 0.01 -2.17 -1.87
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
Corn ($/t) 424.75 0.77 -3.79 13.47
WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 56.65 0.76 -1.10 24.75
Sugar ($/t) 11.96 3.63 -1.96 -0.42
Wheat ($/t) 489.75 0.00 -7.37 -3.18
DCPI 18.78 -0.44 3.05 0.50
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 23.70 24.20 24.00 1.27
AVGR LI USD 0.00 0.38 0.25 0.00
BAVL UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CEEN UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
FXPO LN GBp 267.70 267.80 267.80 0.45
IMC PW PLN 15.30 15.60 15.60 0.96
KER PW PLN 49.55 49.90 49.75 -0.50
MHPC LI USD 10.00 10.10 10.00 0.00
OVO PW PLN 80.50 84.00 84.00 0.00
UNAF UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
KVBZ UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TATM UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
UTLM UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MSICH UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
ALAGR FP EUR 0.12 0.12 0.12 -1.98
AGT PW PLN 3.27 3.35 3.27 -2.24
DUPD LN GBp 9.00 10.80 9.90 0.00
JKX LN GBp 37.40 38.60 37.40 -0.80
KSG PW PLN 0.93 1.00 1.00 4.00
MLK PW PLN 0.36 0.43 0.43 0.00
RPT LN GBp 38.40 40.00 38.40 -1.92
UKR LN GBp 2.50 3.98 3.24 0.00
DOEN UAH 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %

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