Ukraine ranked 54th globally in terms of GDP and 38th in terms of purchasing power parity GDP in 2012. The country’s nominal GDP stood at $176bn last year, translating into $3,865 per capita. Real GDP growth slowed to 0.2% last year as weak external demand took a toll on the export-oriented economy. We forecast economic growth will remain close to zero in 2013 and recover to +1.5% in 2014.
| Year | 2029 | 2030 | 2032 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issue Volume ($m) | 1168.33379 | 547.943855 | 3497.6653200000005 | 2001.3222000000003 | 1626.613414 | 2456.212884 |
| Coupon Rate (% p.a.) | 4.5% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Coupon Frequency | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Maturity date | 2/1/2029 | 2/1/2030 | 2/1/2032 | 2/1/2034 | 2/1/2035 | 2/1/2036 |
| Ratings: Fitch/Moody's/S&P | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC+ | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC | _/CCC+/CCC |
| Market Price* | 77.75 | 63.5 | 78.75 | 48.25 | 56.0 | 61.0 |
| Market YTM* | 14.97% | 14.51% | 10.69% | 13.37% | 10.82% | 13.14% |
| Spread over UST* | 1140.36 | 1081.88 | 781.71 | 929.81 | 666.84 | 897.32 |
| Note: *Based on bid price. | ||||||
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP ($bn) | 154.2 | 156.6 | 199.9 | 191.2 |
| GDP per Capita ($) | 3,679 | 3,755 | 4,827 | 4,641 |
| Total Public Debt ($bn) | 84.4 | 90.3 | 97.9 | 109.7 |
| Total Public Debt (% GDP) | 50.24% | 60.45% | 48.99% | 59.68% |
| Debt to IMF ($bn) | 11.2 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Ext. Debt w/o IMF ($bn) | 37.7 | 40.9 | 42.7 | 50.6 |
| Ext. Debt w/o IMF (% exports) | 59.38% | 66.88% | 52.07% | 59.46% |
| Gross F/X Reserves ($bn) | 25.3 | 29.1 | 30.9 | 30.0 |
| UAH:$ (e-o-p) | 23.69 | 28.28 | 27.28 | 28.50 |
| UAH:$ (avg.) | 25.80 | 26.96 | 27.27 | 27.40 |