Research

Welcome to our research portal. We provide comprehensive coverage on Ukrainian macroeconomics and politics as well as all major domestic industries such as metals and mining, agriculture, machine-building, fuel and energy, banking and others from both the equities and fixed income perspectives. 

Market View

  • Fixed income

    The sovereign curve again came under pressure from global markets, though volumes, investor engagement, and the degree of Ukraine-specific concerns remained low. NAFTO announced late in the day that some sort of restructuring was coming, with bonds marked 1pt lower as a result. That shouldn’t really come as a surprise, and considering how RAILUA has been trading, investors are likely to stay firm and damage to bonds should remain contained. Other than that, we saw light selling in a few quasi-sovereigns and corporates with limited liquidity.

  • Equities

    Ukrainian stocks rose 0.7% on Friday, led by KYIV (+8.5%). The stock traded between $10.85-11.86, generating a strong turnover of $28m. In the agricultural sector, MHPC lost 1%, closing below $8, AST and KER slid by 0.7% and 0.3% respectively, while IMC rose 1.7% on low volumes. FXPO closed 0.6% lower at GBp50 on small turnover of $0.4m. Equities may trade higher today, supported by generally stronger global markets.

Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
KYIV US USD 11.05 11.06 11.06 8.5
FXPO LN GBp 51.2 51.7 51.2 1.6
MHPC LI USD 8.0 8.24 8.0 0.8
KER PW PLN 19.4 19.7 19.4 -0.2
IMC PW PLN 29.6 30.0 30.0 -1.0
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 47.8 48.0 48.0 -1.0
IMC PW PLN 29.6 30.0 30.0 -1.0
KER PW PLN 19.4 19.7 19.4 -0.2
MHPC LI USD 8.0 8.24 8.0 0.8
FXPO LN GBp 51.2 51.7 51.2 1.6
Ticker Currency Close 1D, % Volume
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
SPX 6632.19 -0.61 -2.98 -3.12
PFTS 461.5 0.00 0.17 0.06
DAX 23356.98 -0.39 -5.82 -4.63
FTSE100 10260.66 0.00 -2.03 3.32
KP-Dragon 2,174.15 0.72 -16.18 -8.38
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
CDX.EM 97.72409 0.00 -1.13 -1.21
5-year UST 98.5078125 0.00 0.00 0.00
10-year UST 98.96875 0.00 0.00 0.00
6M USD LIBOR 4.68213 -0.17 -8.86 -16.18
12M USD LIBOR 6.04143 1.36 5.43 10.20
Ukraine A29 74.25 -1.00 -7.19 -0.67
Ukraine A36 56.75 -1.73 -11.33 -3.81
Ukraine B36 53.25 -1.39 -11.98 -6.17
EMBI+ Ukraine 940.00 1.51 17.79 -16.42
CEMBI Ukraine 799.04 -0.49 4.47 -37.27
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
UAH:USD (NBU) 44.14 0.06 -2.35 -4.04
UAH:EUR (NBU) 50.67 0.57 0.91 -1.72
USD:GBP 1.33 0.16 -2.77 -1.66
USD:EUR 1.15 0.30 -3.38 -2.51
PLN:USD 3.73 0.53 -4.61 -3.73
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 98.71 3.11 56.96 71.91
Corn ($/t) 178.1 0.95 4.81 2.78
Wheat ($/t) 227.2 4.43 12.71 21.99
Sugar ($/t) 316.9 -0.07 4.28 -4.26
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 47.80 48.00 48.00 -1.03
FXPO LN GBp 51.20 51.70 51.20 1.59
IMC PW PLN 29.60 30.00 30.00 -0.99
KER PW PLN 19.40 19.70 19.40 -0.21
MHPC LI USD 8.00 8.24 8.00 0.76
KYIV US USD 11.05 11.06 11.06 8.53
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %

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