Research

Welcome to our research portal. We provide comprehensive coverage on Ukrainian macroeconomics and politics as well as all major domestic industries such as metals and mining, agriculture, machine-building, fuel and energy, banking and others from both the equities and fixed income perspectives. 

Market View

  • Fixed income

    It would’ve been fair to expect the sovereign curve to trade a lot weaker yesterday with EM HY down around 1pt and Putin’s clear rejection of any attempts at a ceasefire over the weekend. Low offers appeared on the open (-75c) but then pulled as soon as global sentiment turned, with the market gradually climbing higher to close unchanged. Given the news flow, this should probably still be attributed to strong technicals, with not many bonds in the hands of tactical accounts.

  • Equities

    The KP-Dragon index dipped by 0.3% yesterday amid prevailing selling pressure. In the agricultural space, AST fell 2.5% to PLN 47.9, KER slipped 0.7%, and MHPC edged 0.4% lower to $9.06 on tiny volume. KYIV lost 0.9%, closing at $13.6 on turnover of $4.6m, while SWRM dropped 5.4% to $57.5 on $26.8m turnover. With global markets mixed, Ukrainian stocks are likely to trade sideways today.

Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
FXPO LN GBp _ _ 28.58 0.0
KYIV US USD 13.47 13.49 13.48 -0.9
KER PW PLN 19.18 19.2 19.2 -0.9
AST PW PLN 47.1 47.2 47.1 -1.7
MHPC LI USD 8.64 8.96 8.76 -3.3
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
IMC PW PLN 36.9 37.2 37.2 -7.0
MHPC LI USD 8.64 8.96 8.76 -3.3
AST PW PLN 47.1 47.2 47.1 -1.7
KER PW PLN 19.18 19.2 19.2 -0.9
KYIV US USD 13.47 13.49 13.48 -0.9
Ticker Currency Close 1D, % Volume
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
SPX 7347.8 -0.78 -0.69 7.34
PFTS 421.18 0.00 -1.85 -8.68
DAX 24433.06 -0.74 0.39 -0.23
FTSE100 10227.33 -1.41 -0.06 2.98
KP-Dragon 2,341.75 0.52 8.06 -1.32
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
CDX.EM 97.72722 0.00 0.24 -1.21
5-year UST 99.421875 0.00 0.00 0.00
10-year UST 98.796875 0.00 0.00 0.00
6M USD LIBOR 4.68213 -0.17 -8.86 -16.18
12M USD LIBOR 6.04143 1.36 5.43 10.20
Ukraine A29 82.75 -0.30 3.76 10.70
Ukraine A36 65.25 0.00 5.67 10.59
Ukraine B36 55.75 0.00 6.19 -1.76
EMBI+ Ukraine 761.00 3.68 -14.40 -26.33
CEMBI Ukraine 704.25 1.22 -14.74 -44.71
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
UAH:USD (NBU) 44.84 -0.74 -1.97 -5.55
UAH:EUR (NBU) 51.9 -1.05 -0.34 -4.05
USD:GBP 1.34 0.29 -1.70 -0.71
USD:EUR 1.15 0.06 -2.05 -1.75
PLN:USD 3.68 0.03 -2.12 -2.36
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 91.3 0.84 -4.32 59.00
Corn ($/t) 180.1 -1.24 0.55 3.92
Wheat ($/t) 233.5 -1.66 4.48 25.35
Sugar ($/t) 320.6 -1.09 4.38 -3.13
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 47.10 47.20 47.10 -1.67
FXPO LN GBp 0.00 0.00 28.58 0.00
IMC PW PLN 36.90 37.20 37.20 -7.00
KER PW PLN 19.18 19.20 19.20 -0.93
MHPC LI USD 8.64 8.96 8.76 -3.31
KYIV US USD 13.47 13.49 13.48 -0.88
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %

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