Research

Welcome to our research portal. We provide comprehensive coverage on Ukrainian macroeconomics and politics as well as all major domestic industries such as metals and mining, agriculture, machine-building, fuel and energy, banking and others from both the equities and fixed income perspectives. 

Market View

  • Fixed income

    Another quiet day, with a bit of excitement late in the afternoon as the warrants deal was confirmed (SteerCo approved), leading to a 1pt rally in the warrants and 25-50c moves elsewhere. The implied C32 is roughly 300bp tight to the interpolated A curve. A few trades went through in quasi-sovereigns and corporates: KERPW 1mio+ at 94.625, NAFTO 28 1mio+ at 77.

  • Equities

    Foreign-listed stocks were mixed yesterday, with the KP-Dragon index closing unchanged. FXPO rose 1.6% to GBp 65 on small volume, while KYIV gained 1.4% to $14.28 on turnover of $5.2m. Among agricultural names, KER fell 3%, AST slipped 0.8% to PLN 45, MHPC declined 0.6%, and IMC closed flat. With mixed global markets, we expect Ukrainian equities to trade sideways again today.

Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
FXPO LN GBp 64.9 65.0 65.0 1.6
KYIV US USD 14.25 14.28 14.25 1.2
IMC PW PLN 28.2 28.9 28.2 0.0
MHPC LI USD 6.28 6.34 6.34 -0.6
AST PW PLN 45.0 45.15 45.0 -0.8
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
KER PW PLN 19.6 19.84 19.6 -3.0
AST PW PLN 45.0 45.15 45.0 -0.8
MHPC LI USD 6.28 6.34 6.34 -0.6
IMC PW PLN 28.2 28.9 28.2 0.0
KYIV US USD 14.25 14.28 14.25 1.2
Ticker Currency Close 1D, % Volume
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
SPX 6845.42 -0.02 1.73 16.39
PFTS 458.79 0.00 0.00 -8.74
DAX 24162.65 0.49 2.51 21.36
FTSE100 9642.01 -0.03 -0.42 17.97
KP-Dragon 2,283.73 0.86 12.34 31.98
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
CDX.EM 98.60707 0.00 0.19 1.69
5-year UST 98.7421875 0.00 0.00 0.00
10-year UST 98.53125 0.00 0.00 0.00
6M USD LIBOR 4.68213 -0.17 -8.86 -16.18
12M USD LIBOR 6.04143 1.36 5.43 10.20
Ukraine A29 68.0 -1.45 -1.09 -2.51
Ukraine A36 53.0 -2.30 -2.30 -2.75
Ukraine B36 52.5 -1.87 4.48 -11.39
EMBI+ Ukraine 1,030.00 -1.53 -0.77 51.96
CEMBI Ukraine 1,253.64 -0.31 1.79 15.21
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
UAH:USD (NBU) 42.18 -0.27 -0.54 -0.37
UAH:EUR (NBU) 49.09 -0.14 -1.12 -11.02
USD:GBP 1.33 -0.17 0.94 6.26
USD:EUR 1.16 -0.09 0.60 12.29
PLN:USD 3.64 0.14 0.74 13.58
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 58.88 -2.00 -1.46 -17.90
Corn ($/t) 171.9 -0.23 0.34 -4.74
Wheat ($/t) 197.5 -0.65 -3.11 -2.54
Sugar ($/t) 326.3 -0.54 4.89 -23.16
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 45.00 45.15 45.00 -0.77
FXPO LN GBp 64.90 65.00 65.00 1.56
IMC PW PLN 28.20 28.90 28.20 0.00
KER PW PLN 19.60 19.84 19.60 -2.97
MHPC LI USD 6.28 6.34 6.34 -0.63
KYIV US USD 14.25 14.28 14.25 1.21
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %

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